European Equities Open Lower as US-Iran Conflict Drives Oil and Yields Higher

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European stock markets commenced the session in negative territory, pressured by renewed military confrontations between the United States and Iran that pushed crude prices and bond yields upward, thereby amplifying worldwide interest rate hike anticipations. Asian-Pacific shares similarly retreated following a weak handover from Wall Street. Crude futures advanced for a third consecutive day as renewed hostilities heightened vulnerabilities surrounding energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. December Brent traded near USD 95.50 per barrel, while October WTI hovered around USD 91 per barrel. American Petroleum Institute figures indicated that US crude inventories shrank by 2.6 million barrels over the recent week. Concurrently, European natural gas prices surged to their loftiest levels since January 2023, exacerbating supply anxieties, with Dutch TTF futures climbing more than 70 percent compared to early July. Furthermore, benchmark US 10-year Treasury yields touched 4.81 percent.

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The resumption of armed conflict between the US and Iran has caused a surge in international oil prices and bond yields, intensifying concerns over global interest rate hikes. Brent crude for December delivery traded around $95.50 per barrel and WTI near $91, reflecting concerns over supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Additionally, Dutch TTF natural gas futures skyrocketed over 70%, leading the weakness in European stock markets. Investors must prepare for asset price volatility driven by escalating geopolitical risks and inflation pressures.

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The soaring prices of crude oil and natural gas driven by the US-Iran armed conflict directly stimulate concerns over energy supply chain disruptions, exacerbating global inflation. In particular, the 10-year US Treasury yield spiked to 4.81%, heightening expectations for rate hikes and exerting downward pressure on the stock market overall.

If the geopolitical conflict persists, the energy sector will benefit, but airlines, shipping, and consumer goods are expected to suffer deteriorating earnings due to cost burdens. Therefore, energy transportation conditions in the Strait of Hormuz and the trends in US Treasury yields must be closely monitored.

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