Zelensky Hopes for Trump Meeting in Late September to Discuss Air Defense

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed his intention to meet with US President Donald Trump later in September to deliberate on a winter air defense package. This comes as the Kremlin reiterated that Russia remains prepared to pursue peace at any moment, conditioning such progress on Kyiv's stance, while also confirming President Vladimir Putin's participation in the upcoming BRICS summit. In the financial markets, UK Gilts underperformed heading into the TSC following an update from AMZN, while fixed income markets experienced a pullback as energy costs rebounded. Additionally, the Dutch Debt Agency successfully auctioned EUR 3 billion of its 2.75% 2036 DSL bonds, matching the upper bound of the EUR 2.5 billion to 3 billion target range, with the average yield rising to 3.463% compared to 3.206% in the previous auction.

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Ukrainian President Zelenskyy expressed hope to discuss a winter air defense package during a meeting with US President Trump in mid-September. Meanwhile, the Kremlin stated it is ready for peace negotiations depending on Ukraine's attitude and announced President Putin's attendance at the BRICS summit. This geopolitical and energy market volatility is directly impacting investment sentiment in related assets.

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Ukraine's discussion on the air defense package and Russia's remarks regarding peace negotiations suggest the persistence of geopolitical risks, which, combined with rising energy prices, are increasing market volatility. In the Netherlands' 2036 government bond auction, the average yield rose to 3.463% compared to the previous 3.206%, reflecting upward pressure on interest rates.

In the bullish scenario, continuous order growth in the defense sector and improved earnings of related companies driven by rising energy prices are expected. In the bearish scenario, overall stock market contraction due to heightened geopolitical tensions and the burden of rising bond yields pose risks. Investors should closely monitor geopolitical news flows and the yield trends of major countries' government bonds.

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