Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Baghaei says media reports about the content of consultations with the Qatari mediator are baseless speculation, noting such accounts have no basis in reality and no discussion of the details of the issues took place

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Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Baghaei says media reports about the content of consultations with the Qatari mediator are baseless speculation, noting such accounts have no basis in reality and no discussion of the details of the issues took place [MARKET ANALYSIS] FX markets are flat ahead of key data releases this week, while participants await a widely-expected RBA rate hike [MARKET ANALYSIS] T-note futures trade sideways after recent upside in yields ahead of this week's key data The established pattern is that an outright denial kills the immediate headline risk but rarely settles the underlying question: episodes of this sort have tended to see the substance of the reported contact confirmed, qualified, or quietly resumed weeks later. For the crude complex the transmission channel is the geopolitical risk premium embedded in the front of the curve and in timespreads, which has historically bled out on denials and de-escalatory signals and rebuilt on any confirmed escalation affecting supply, shipping insurance, or transit through the Strait. The distinction that matters is whether the denial concerns the existence of talks or merely their content; a narrow rebuttal of reported details, as phrased here, leaves the fact of Qatari mediation itself intact. The follow-ons worth noting are any counter-reporting from the originating outlets, comment from Doha, and parallel signals from the nuclear or sanctions track, which is where these consultations have typically intersected with energy-relevant outcomes.

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