Latest US CPI Core Goods, Services and Supercore Metrics Released
Newsquawk ·
Recent consumer price index data revealed that core goods inflation on a monthly basis climbed to 0.25% from the prior 0.11%, registering 0.74% year-over-year compared to the previous 0.68%. Meanwhile, core services inflation grew 0.37% month-over-month, exceeding the prior 0.33%, and advanced 3.15% annually from 3.01%. Furthermore, the supercore CPI metric, which measures core services excluding rent and owners equivalent rent, slowed to 0.42% on a monthly basis from 0.51%, yet accelerated to 3.13% on an annual basis compared to the previous reading of 3.01%.
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U.S. core goods and services prices rose 0.25% and 0.37% month-over-month, respectively, proving that inflation pressure remains robust. Notably, the Fed-watched supercore CPI increased 3.13% year-over-year, putting the brakes on monetary policy pivot expectations. These indicators are expected to delay the market's rate cut path and act as downward pressure on bond and stock markets overall. Investors need to build defensive portfolios in preparation for potential hawkish stance changes by the Fed and interest rate volatility.
상승 영향
- USD — As expectations for Fed rate cuts recede due to stronger-than-expected inflation data, the U.S. dollar is facing upward pressure on its value.
하락 영향
- Growth Stocks — As high inflation metrics prolong the high-interest-rate environment, the present value discount rate of future cash flows increases, acting as a negative factor for stock prices.
- Bonds — Due to persistent inflation pressure and concerns over delayed rate cuts, Treasury yields are rising, putting downward pressure on bond prices.
- Real Estate — Financing costs in the residential and commercial real estate markets are increasing due to weakened expectations for benchmark rate cuts and the prolonged peak in loan rates.
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