US September PPI Report Details PCE Components

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The latest Producer Price Index figures for September focusing on personal consumption expenditure components have been released. Portfolio management prices rebounded to 0.35% from the previous -1.58%, while air passenger transport surged significantly to 4.97% compared to -0.43% prior. Physician care costs registered at 0.06%, slightly down from 0.07%, and home health and hospice care declined further to -0.64% from -0.37%. Meanwhile, hospital outpatient care was recorded at 0.04%, down from 0.35%, and hospital inpatient care stood at 0.32%, slightly easing from 0.33%. Lastly, nursing home care rebounded into positive territory at 0.50%, compared to the previous -0.19% contraction.

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In the detailed items of the US September PPI, airline transportation PPI surged by 4.97% month-over-month and portfolio management PPI rose by 0.35%, indicating that service inflation pressures persist. This could weigh on the Federal Reserve's rate cut path, raising caution across financial markets. Investors need to adopt defensive portfolio strategies while monitoring the impact of rising service inflation on future inflation indicators.

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The 4.97% surge in airline transportation PPI and the rise in portfolio management costs prove that inflationary pressures in the service sector remain robust, which limits expectations for additional Fed rate cuts and exerts downward pressure on bonds and growth stocks. If inflation indicators consistently exceed expectations, a valuation adjustment across the stock market is inevitable, so detailed figures of upcoming employment and Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases must be closely monitored.

On the other hand, if signals of easing inflation pressures are detected, asset management and related financial service sectors may attempt a modest rebound due to fee revenue stability. Therefore, it is important to flexibly adjust investment strategies centering on the trended decline of core inflation indicators and statements from Fed officials.

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