US Equity Pre-Market Briefing: Peace Talks, Central Bank Speeches, and Energy Inventories in Focus

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Ahead of the Wall Street opening bell, White House envoy Witkoff is scheduled to meet Russian President Putin in St. Petersburg to deliver an updated peace proposal for Ukraine following discussions with Ukrainian President Zelensky. On the macroeconomic calendar, the weekly US MBA mortgage applications will be released. Central bank attention will be high as BoE Governor Bailey discusses independence during financial instability, alongside remarks from ECB President Lagarde, chief economist Lane, and Cipollone. In the Treasury market, the US will auction USD 13 billion in 20-year bonds. Energy markets remain active after American Petroleum Institute figures revealed a larger-than-expected crude inventory drawdown of 4.9 million barrels, surpassing forecasts for a 1.1 million drop, alongside steeper declines in gasoline and distillate stockpiles, ahead of the official EIA energy report.

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The U.S. stock market is focusing on geopolitical volatility ahead of the White House special envoy's meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin and the presentation of a peace plan for Ukraine. In the API weekly crude inventory report, crude oil inventories fell by 4.9 million barrels, coming in below expectations and showing clear supply-demand changes in the energy market. Investors should take a cautious approach while monitoring remarks from major central bank governors and the results of the U.S. 20-year Treasury auction.

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The API weekly crude inventory report showed a draw of 4.9 million barrels, far exceeding the expected decrease of 1.1 million barrels, triggering concerns over tight crude supply. Gasoline and distillate inventories also declined by 2.0 million barrels and 2.6 million barrels, respectively, increasing upward pressure on energy prices in the short term.

Volatility in crude oil and energy-related assets is expected to expand depending on future progress in Ukraine peace negotiations and the official EIA inventory release. Investors should use crude inventory indicators and signals of geopolitical risk mitigation as key monitoring metrics.

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