US Mortgage Refinance Index Eases as Major Corporations Release Q3 Earnings

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The US MBA Mortgage Refinance Index for the week ending October 16 edged down to 503.1 from the previous 513.5. The 30-year mortgage rate decreased to 7.41% compared to 7.50% prior, while the mortgage market index printed at 188.6 and the purchase index registered 129.2, with overall mortgage applications dropping 5.3%. In corporate highlights, Philip Morris International reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of USD 2.36 on net revenue of USD 11.4 billion, both topping expectations. AT&T also posted strong Q3 results with adjusted EPS at USD 0.65 and revenue reaching USD 32.2 billion, alongside an upgraded full-year EPS outlook of approximately USD 2.40.

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The US MBA Mortgage Refinance Index dropped from 513.5 to 503.1 in the previous week, and the 30-year mortgage rate hit 7.41%, sustaining downward pressure on the housing market due to prolonged high interest rates. Major companies such as PMI, AT&T, and Danaher reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings, proving solid fundamentals. Investors are required to take a cautious approach, paying attention to geopolitical risks, corporate earnings, and the direction of interest rates.

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The 7.41% mortgage rate and the decline in the refinance index show that the burden of financing costs in the housing market remains, which acts as a constraint on housing-related consumption and related financial products. On the other hand, the strong earnings of companies suggest resilience centered on large-cap stocks backed by earnings.

Since volatility may expand depending on the future interest rate path and the results of geopolitical negotiations, changes in mortgage application counts and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy signals must be closely monitored.

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