US 30-Year Mortgage Rate Drops to 7.41% as Major Corporate Earnings Top Estimates

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The US MBA 30-year mortgage rate for the week ending October 16 eased to 7.41% from the prior 7.50%, while mortgage applications declined 5.3% compared to a 2.7% drop previously. In corporate earnings news, Philip Morris International reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of USD 2.36 on net revenue of USD 11.4 billion, both topping expectations. AT&T posted Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of USD 0.65 with revenue reaching USD 32.2 billion, while raising its current full-year EPS outlook to approximately 2.40. Danaher and Elevance Health also delivered stronger-than-expected Q3 results, with Elevance lifting its full-year guidance. Meanwhile, geopolitical developments remained in focus as Russian President Putin met with US Envoy Witkoff, and energy markets tracked potential heating oil reserve loans by the Department of Energy.

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The U.S. 30-year mortgage rate fell to 7.41% from 7.50% the previous week, but applications dropped by 5.3%, signaling a continuing slowdown in the housing market. Major companies like Philip Morris, AT&T, and Danaher reported third-quarter earnings exceeding market expectations and raised their guidance. Investors should focus on the solid earnings of key companies and shifts in the interest rate path amid geopolitical risks.

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Despite the drop in mortgage rates, the mortgage application index fell 5.3% week-over-week, as potential homebuyers adopt a wait-and-see attitude due to prolonged high interest rates. However, solid earnings announcements from major corporations are acting as a factor supporting downside rigidity for individual stocks.

The timing of a rebound in the real estate market will be determined by future improvements in housing indicators and the pace of interest rate spread contraction. Mortgage application volume and its correlation with Treasury yields should be used as key monitoring indicators.

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