SNB Releases September Meeting Minutes

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The Swiss National Bank noted that the upward trend in inflation since early this year was primarily driven by higher petroleum product costs. Officials observed no indicators of secondary impacts, while core inflation experienced only a modest increase. Furthermore, medium-term price pressures remain minimal, with updated conditional inflation projections staying well within the price stability target across the entire horizon. Regarding foreign exchange policy, the central bank remains prepared to engage in currency markets when required to maintain suitable monetary conditions. However, policymakers emphasized that an intensified readiness to intervene is no longer essential under the current economic framework.

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The Swiss National Bank (SNB) assessed that the primary driver of price increases since the beginning of the year has been rising oil product prices, with no signs of secondary ripple effects. Medium-term inflationary pressure has also remained moderate, settling within the price stability range. Accordingly, the market is focusing on the possibility that the SNB will maintain its further monetary easing stance.

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As core inflation has risen minimally despite higher oil prices, it is assessed that inflationary pressure is limited. The need for active intervention in the foreign exchange market has also decreased, highlighting the stability of monetary policy.

If future inflation indicators fall below expectations, expectations for additional rate cuts could act as a favorable factor for growth stocks and the bond market. On the other hand, if the surge in oil prices continues, it could stimulate inflation, so the volatility of crude oil prices and the Swiss franc exchange rate must be closely monitored.

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