Putin Warns of Gas Volatility and OPEC+ Eyes Oil Targets Amid Global Energy Shifts

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Russian President Putin stated that global gas prices have surged sharply but could experience steep declines, proposing cooperative optimization of fuel supply routes among exporting nations. Meanwhile, Deputy PM Novak announced that a fourth tanker carrying Russian diesel is set to reach the US on October 28, adding that Russia can redirect gas supplies elsewhere if Europe declines them. In crude markets, WTI settled USD 1.51 lower at USD 101.76 per barrel, while Brent decreased USD 0.96 to close at USD 110.74. US strategic petroleum reserve stocks dropped to 282.6 million barrels last week. US President Trump plans to ease methane curbs on oil wells to reduce expenses, and Chevron's Australian subsidiary secured a long-term natural gas agreement with Worsley Alumina. Additionally, Qatar extended its LNG force majeure with Edison until December, and OPEC+ is expected to maintain its December production quotas.

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Russian President Putin mentioned the possibility of sharp fluctuations in global gas prices and proposed cooperation among exporting countries to optimize supply routes. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura refinery (550k BPD) was hit by a missile causing an explosion, and WTI crude oil prices dropped to $101.76. Investors should closely monitor Middle Eastern geopolitical risks and changes in supply policies of major energy exporters.

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Russia's suggestion of gas supply realignment and the news of the attack on the Saudi refinery are maximizing volatility in the global energy market, directly impacting related commodity prices. Although WTI crude oil dropped to $101.76, concerns over supply disruptions persist.

There are coexisting scenarios of energy price spikes due to supply interruptions from worsening Middle Eastern situations, and price stabilization scenarios driven by Russia's permission of diesel exports and increased production stance. Key points to watch are the speed of refinery damage recovery and specific changes in Russia's export volumes.

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