Australian Sep CPI Reaches 104.34 Alongside Major Corporate Earnings and Global Central Bank Updates

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Australia's September Consumer Price Index printed at 104.34, compared to the prior reading of 103.50. The headline annual CPI for September rose 3.9%, below the expected 4.2%, while the monthly rate increased 0.8% against a 0.7% forecast. Quarterly CPI for Q3 matched expectations at 3.9% year-on-year and 1.3% quarter-on-quarter. In corporate news, SK Hynix (000660 KS) reported Q1 net income of 39.5tln, operating profit of 83.3tln, and revenue of 104.6tln. NXP Semiconductors posted Q3 adjusted EPS of 4.20 on 3.8bln in revenue and announced a 5bln share buyback increase. Visa reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 3.48 and 12.1bln in revenue, alongside a 16% dividend hike to 0.78 per share. Meanwhile, the Central Bank of Chile maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.50% unanimously.

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Australia's September CPI recorded 3.9% annually, and SK Hynix announced an operating profit of 83.3 trillion won, among other key economic indicators and corporate earnings. As inflationary pressures in Australia persist, market vigilance regarding the RBA's monetary policy path has increased. Investors should focus on risk management based on core price indicators and the strong performance of major companies.

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Australia's Q3 quarterly CPI rose by 1.3% and recorded 3.9% annually, meeting expectations, but core price pressures continue to stimulate the RBA's target levels. This highlights concerns over additional tightening, directly impacting the short-term interest rate path.

The bullish scenario is a rate freeze and a rebound in growth stocks driven by confidence in slowing inflation, while the bearish scenario is the pressure for additional rate hikes by the RBA due to a rebound in prices. Key indicators to watch are the upcoming RBA rate decision and monthly CPI components.

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