US September Wholesale Inventories Rise 0.6% Amid Heavy Q3 Corporate Earnings

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Advance US wholesale inventories for September rose by 0.6% month-over-month, exceeding the forecasted 0.5% and contributing to quarterly GDP tracking models. In corporate earnings, Amphenol (APH) reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of 0.80 USD on revenue of 10.2 billion USD, both topping estimates. Etsy Inc. (ETSY) posted Q3 EPS of 1.00 USD with 692 million USD in revenue, while Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) reported 1.99 billion USD in revenue alongside an adjusted EPS of 2.76 USD. GE Vernova (GEV) announced a 9 billion USD acquisition of Trench Group, anticipating 50 million to 100 million USD in annual cost synergies by 2030, and posted Q3 revenue of 12.6 billion USD. Additionally, Automatic Data Processing (ADP) delivered Q3 adjusted EPS of 2.82 USD and revenue of 5.5 billion USD, maintaining an upbeat full-year outlook.

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US September wholesale inventories rose 0.6% month-over-month, beating the 0.5% estimate, while the trade deficit widened to $134.9 billion. While these physical economic indicators are reflected in GDP estimates rather than immediately shifting monetary policy stances, strong earnings from individual companies during earnings season are driving the market. Investors should take a selective approach based on consumer goods inventory accumulation and solid corporate earnings announcements.

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DYAX 전담 분석

Along with the increase in US September wholesale inventories, Q3 earnings from major companies such as Amphenol, Etsy, and Garmin have beaten expectations, providing positive momentum for individual stock prices. In particular, GE Vernova's large-scale acquisition and strong earnings are breathing life into related industries.

The bullish scenario is the continuation of an upward trend driven by solid earnings, while the bearish scenario is the widening trade deficit and inventory accumulation being interpreted as signals of slowing demand. Attention should be paid to future inventory revisions and consumer sales data.

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