US Stocks Slide As Middle East Tensions Lift Oil Ahead Of Inflation Data; S&P 500 Falls 0.6%

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Wall Street indices finished lower on Tuesday as escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions drove petroleum costs higher ahead of crucial inflation reports that could shape the Federal Reserve's upcoming September policy meeting. The S&P 500 dropped 0.6% to close at 7,673.52, the Nasdaq 100 slipped 0.1% to 29,507.70, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 1.2% to 52,786.07. Brent crude settled near $98 per barrel. Amid the market downturn, HSBC revised its S&P 500 target upward, projecting roughly 5% more upside from Friday's close, backed by resilient corporate earnings and ongoing technology spending. Meanwhile, investor attention remained fixed on key corporate developments involving META, QCOM, BE, AMZN, and AVGO as energy expenses continued to dominate market sentiment.

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The S&P 500 closed 0.6% lower, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and surging oil prices (Brent crude hitting $98). Concerns over upcoming inflation data and the Federal Reserve's rate policy exerted downward pressure on the broader stock market. Investors should monitor inflation pressures from soaring oil prices and the future direction of monetary policy.

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Concerns over oil supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts pushed Brent crude above $98 a barrel for a sixth consecutive session, leading to higher manufacturing and transportation costs and dragging down major indices like the Dow (-1.2%) and S&P 500 (-0.6%). Upcoming consumer and producer price releases are expected to directly impact the Fed's September rate decision.

The bullish scenario involves inflation pressures easing more than expected, highlighting rate freeze expectations and rebounding toward HSBC's S&P 500 target of 8,100, while the bearish scenario involves persistent high oil prices reviving inflation and spreading fears of additional rate hikes. Key indicators to watch are weekly crude inventories and the August Consumer Price Index (CPI).

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