Jim Cramer Says NVIDIA Faces A Crucial Test Following Morgan Stanley Coverage

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Market commentator Jim Cramer noted that NVIDIA shares are experiencing a pivotal evaluation period following recent coverage by Morgan Stanley. This discussion follows a Financial Times report indicating that Amazon is exploring a special-purpose entity to hold NVIDIA AI GPUs, which Cramer views as an asset-light strategy via a sale-leaseback arrangement. While Barclays projects that NVIDIA could achieve 401 billion dollars in hyperscaler revenue by 2027, the tech giant anticipates its gross margins for fiscal year 2027 to dip between 71 percent and 72 percent. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2028, NVIDIA expects margins to recover slightly to a range of 72 percent to 73 percent as market conditions stabilize.

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Amazon drew market attention by exploring an $80 billion asset-light transaction utilizing NVDA GPUs. Alongside Morgan Stanley's analysis, NVDA faces a crucial test of whether it can break through the $236 resistance level. With rising memory semiconductor prices and power constraints burdening NVDA's margins, investors are advised to take a cautious approach.

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Amazon's $80 billion GPU sale-and-leaseback structure is a positive signal broadening liquidity for Nvidia chips, but concerns are raised that rising memory semiconductor prices and power constraints could cause NVDA's fiscal 2027 gross margins to drop to the 71-72% range.

Key monitoring indicators include whether it can break through the $736 double-top resistance and intensifying competition from Google TPUs, and if margin recovery slows, short-term stock price volatility is likely to expand.

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