Eldorado Gold Slips 8.4% Despite Securing Grid Power for Skouries Mine in Greece

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Shares of Eldorado Gold dropped 8.4% even after successfully energizing its Skouries mine in northern Greece through a permanent national grid connection. This critical milestone secures long-term electricity for ongoing operations as the project targets commercial production in the fourth quarter of 2026, significantly mitigating infrastructure risks following the initial copper-gold concentrate production on September 8, 2026. Looking ahead, the company's financial model projects $4.5 billion in revenue and $1.5 billion in earnings by 2029, reflecting an ambitious annual growth rate of 30.0%. While baseline estimates point toward substantial value, some analysts remain even more optimistic, suggesting that smooth execution at Skouries could accelerate cost normalization and drive shares toward a fair value estimate of CA$71.91, representing a notable upside from current trading levels.

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Eldorado Gold has completed the grid connection for its Skouries mine in Greece, resolving a key infrastructure risk toward commercial production in Q4 2026. However, on the day of the announcement, the stock fell 8.4%, revealing lingering investor caution regarding operational and regulatory risks. Project execution capacity to achieve $4.5 billion in revenue and $1.5 billion in profit by 2029 is the core variable determining future stock direction.

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The successful grid connection of the Skouries mine in Greece stabilized long-term power supply, enhancing visibility for commercial production in Q4 2026, yet the stock plummeted by 8.4%. This demonstrates that remaining technical ramp-up challenges and geopolitical/regulatory uncertainties in Greece and Turkey continue to suppress investment sentiment.

Future scenarios diverge depending on whether Skouries enters stable production. In the bullish scenario, the achievement of the projected 2029 revenue of $4.5 billion and profit of $1.5 billion accelerates, allowing for a valuation re-rating. In the bearish scenario, cost overruns and regulatory risks emerge, potentially increasing the burden of All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC). Key indicators to watch are copper and gold concentrate production volume and cost trends in the second half of 2026.

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