Qualcomm CEO Says Data Center Growth Is Limited Only by Supply Constraints

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Qualcomm shares dropped approximately 11% this week after the company released a December quarter earnings outlook that missed expectations. CEO Cristiano Amon stated that the $5 billion data center revenue goal for fiscal 2027 is bound entirely by supply rather than demand. A significant portion of this target relies on two hyperscalers, including Amazon, with the AWS agreement generating up to $60 billion in potential revenue over a 10-year span. Management further projects data center revenue to exceed $15 billion by fiscal 2029. Currently trading at 17 times forward earnings, the stock reflects minimal expectations for this massive expansion, while shrinking profit margins remain the primary risk factor for investors.

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Qualcomm shares fell about 11% this week due to weak December quarter guidance and rising costs. However, CEO Cristiano Amon emphasized that the fiscal 2027 data center revenue target of $5.0 billion is limited only by supply shortages, not demand. Investors must monitor both data center growth potential, such as the large contract with Amazon, and margin pressure factors stemming from supply chain constraints.

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Qualcomm expects explosive growth in the data center sector over the next few years through collaborations with Amazon Web Services (AWS) and others, but tight supply chain issues such as wafers and packaging are leading to higher production costs and reduced margins. Despite the lower earnings guidance and declining profits, with the stock trading at around 17x forward P/E, whether supply chain bottlenecks ease and the speed of realizing data center revenue will be key indicators for a stock rebound.

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