Jefferies Issues Bold Prediction for Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

Yahoo Finance ·

Ahead of its fiscal second-quarter report on August 26, Nvidia is projected to potentially deliver a historic revenue beat, driven by unrelenting artificial intelligence infrastructure demand and the early stages of the Vera Rubin cycle, according to Jefferies. Analyst Blayne Curtis forecasts second-quarter revenue of $95 billion, outpacing the $92.07 billion consensus, alongside a third-quarter projection of $108 billion. The firm estimates over 13,000 Rubin racks will ship by the end of 2026, scaling past 120,000 units throughout 2027. However, with shares up roughly 17% year-to-date and a market cap surpassing $5 trillion as of August 19, the upcoming earnings report carries an exceptionally high bar. Beyond headline figures, investors must monitor Rubin shipment schedules, gross margins, and mounting financing commitments linked to AI customers such as OpenAI, which could spark renewed scrutiny over circular spending dynamics.

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Jefferies forecasts that NVIDIA (NVDA) will report Q2 revenue of $95 billion, beating Wall Street consensus of $9.2 billion. Strong performance is expected driven by ongoing AI infrastructure demand ahead of the full-scale shipments of the Vera Rubin platform. However, with its market cap already exceeding $5 trillion, exceptionally strong guidance beyond just solid earnings is required.

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NVIDIA has secured strong growth momentum, projecting Q3 revenue of $10.8 billion along with expectations that over 13,000 Rubin racks will be shipped by the end of 2026. However, OpenAI-related funding support could stimulate concerns over circular revenue, requiring close monitoring by investors.

Future stock direction will be determined by the shipping timing of the Rubin platform and gross margin trends. While strong earnings and robust guidance could enable further upside, increased volatility may occur if funding burdens are highlighted.

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