Barclays Highlights Upside Potential for Nvidia's Hyperscaler Revenue

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In a recent research note, Barclays pointed out that data shared by Nvidia indicates at least $30 billion in potential revenue upside from the top five cloud providers for both 2026 and 2027. Analyst Tom O'Malley calculated these figures based on expectations that cloud capital expenditures will reach approximately $1.1 trillion by 2027, with 80% allocated to IT. Consequently, O'Malley estimates Nvidia's hyperscaler revenue could hit $237 billion in 2026 and $401 billion in 2027, surpassing Barclays' current forecasts of $206 billion and $370 billion, respectively. He also noted that positive catalysts such as increased share buybacks, the Hugging Face acquisition, and strong upside potential will likely continue to improve market sentiment toward the stock in the coming periods.

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According to Barclays' latest analysis, NVDA has an upside revenue potential of at least $30 billion each in 2026 and 2027, driven by increased IT capital expenditures from the top 5 cloud service providers. With cloud CapEx expected to reach about $1.1 trillion by 2027, NVDA's hyperscaler revenue is projected to hit $237 billion in 2026 and $401 billion in 2027. This positive earnings outlook serves as a key indicator that improves investor sentiment and proves the sustainability of AI-related hardware demand.

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Barclays analyst Tom O'Malley analyzed that there is sustained revenue upside pressure through 2027, based on IT capital expenditure share data of the top 5 cloud operators released by NVDA. The surge in cloud CapEx and the assumption of an 80% IT allocation form a causal relationship that directly drives NVDA's earnings growth, increasing room for future valuation expansion.

In the bull scenario, assuming historical ratios are maintained, revenue of $246 billion in 2026 and $41.7 billion in 2027 could be achieved, and strong earnings along with increased share buybacks will support stock price gains. Investors should closely monitor the divergence rate between cloud service providers' CapEx trends and NVDA's actual quarterly earnings as a key monitoring indicator.

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