Intel Shares Plunge Nearly 6% as TSMC Targets Advanced Packaging Operations

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Intel shares dropped by almost 6 percent following remarks from TSMC indicating support for clients unable to secure sufficient capacity in Intel's EMIB-T packaging solutions. According to Intel's Chief Financial Officer, the packaging division generates a gross margin of approximately 40 percent. This robust yet constrained profitability highlights why management has refrained from committing to a timeline for achieving its broader gross margin target of over 50 percent.

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Intel's stock plummeted about 6% following TSMC's hint at entering the advanced packaging business. TSMC stated it would support customers facing supply shortages for Intel's EMIB-T packaging, which is expected to directly hit Intel's high-margin business area. Intel's CFO noted that the packaging segment records a gross margin of about 40%, signaling uncertainty in achieving a margin target of over 50%. Investors should carefully monitor the potential deterioration in profitability of Intel's foundry and packaging segments, which were its core competitive edges.

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TSMC's entry into the advanced packaging market directly hit Intel's foundry profitability, putting 6% downward pressure on Intel's stock price. Intel's packaging segment records a high gross margin of about 40%, but TSMC's declaration of customer support is expected to weaken its monopoly and make margin defense difficult.

The bullish scenario is that Intel rapidly expands its own EMIB-T production capacity to protect its market share, while the bearish scenario is that TSMC absorbs customers, frustrating Intel's margin target of over 50%. Key indicators going forward are Intel's packaging order backlog and the packaging line utilization rate to be mentioned in TSMC's earnings reports.

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