Zacks Investment Ideas Spotlights Nvidia Ahead of Crucial Fed and Earnings Week

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Zacks Equity Research highlighted Nvidia on August 25, 2026, as markets face a high-stakes 48-hour stretch featuring key inflation data and the Jackson Hole symposium. Stocks enter this period on unstable ground, with semiconductor shares locked in a persistent correction from June peaks. Nvidia is slated to report fiscal second-quarter earnings after Wednesday's close, with the consensus projecting revenues of $91.85 billion and earnings of $2.09 per share, marking roughly 96 percent year-over-year growth. Despite these staggering figures, elevated expectations mean beating estimates may not suffice; investors will closely scrutinize October-quarter guidance and gross margins near 73.5 percent. Additionally, newly appointed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver his inaugural Jackson Hole keynote address from August 27 to 29, adding further volatility to an already critical economic calendar.

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Zacks Investment highlighted major events including NVDA's Q2 earnings release ahead, the Jackson Hole Symposium, and the PCE inflation data release. NVDA is expected to grow 96.5% with revenues of $91.85 billion, but market expectations are so high that stock volatility could be high despite strong earnings. Investors are on high alert regarding stagnant inflation in the 0% range and remarks from the new Fed chair.

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While NVDA's Q2 revenue consensus reaches $91.85 billion and EPS is expected to increase by 99% year-over-year to $2.09, there is a precedent of stock declines despite recent strong earnings, demanding flawless guidance. If the October quarter revenue guidance falls below $10.2 billion or the gross margin (73.5%) is compromised, it could trigger a correction across the entire AI sector.

The bullish scenario is NVDA providing better-than-expected guidance and interest rate cut expectations reviving at Jackson Hole, while the bearish scenario is sticky core PCE and the Fed maintaining a hawkish stance, leading to a selling wave across growth stocks. Key indicators to watch are October revenue guidance and the defense of gross margins.

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