The S&P 500 Has Returned About 11% Annually Since 1958. Here's the ETF I'd Trust for the Next 30 Years

Yahoo Finance ·

Back in 1996, top market capitalization constituents of the S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.17%) featured International Business Machines at $73.5 billion. Three decades later, while these enterprises are still household names, the index looks remarkably different today. Microsoft stands as the sole Magnificent 7 member remaining inside the top 10. Back then, Apple was struggling before Steve Jobs returned, whereas Nvidia, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Tesla were either private or non-existent. Because economies transform dramatically over time, investors aiming for multi-decade horizons can either pick individual survivors or purchase a broad-market fund. This is why the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI +0.02%) serves as the ideal core holding. Historically, the S&P 500 has delivered an average annual return of approximately 11% since 1958, driven by a constantly shifting lineup of equities.

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The S&P 500 index has proven its long-term growth potential, recording an average annual return of about 11% since 1958. However, the economic structure constantly evolves, just as past top companies are completely different from today's. Therefore, products like the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), which track the entire market instead of individual stocks, are gaining attention as core assets in long-term investment portfolios.

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The S&P 500 has recorded a solid average annual return of 11% with rapid changes in its constituent companies over the past decades. This demonstrates that a strategy of diversified investment in the innovation and growth of the entire U.S. economy, regardless of the rise and fall of individual companies, is effective in the long run.

The bullish scenario is the upward trend of the entire U.S. stock market driven by continuous technological innovation and the influx of new companies, while the bearish scenario is a synchronized decline across the market due to macroeconomic recession. Investors should closely monitor the trends of broad market indices and long-term inflation indicators.

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Bullish (Long) 43% · Bearish (Short) 57%

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