Super Micro Computer Sees Record Backlog Surge Driven by AI Demand

Yahoo Finance ·

Super Micro Computer continues to benefit from surging artificial intelligence infrastructure demand, posting a 78 percent jump in fiscal 2026 revenues to 39.1 billion dollars. Management announced that over 60 billion dollars in new orders were secured in the fourth quarter, establishing a record backlog heading into fiscal 2027. AI solutions accounted for roughly 60 percent of fourth-quarter revenue, with leadership expecting this share to surpass 80 percent moving forward. The firm projected fiscal 2027 sales between 65 billion dollars and 72 billion dollars, alongside first-quarter sales of 14.5 billion to 15.5 billion dollars. Early integration of next-generation hardware from NVIDIA, Advanced Micro Devices, and Intel remains a core advantage, while competitors like Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise vie for market share. SMCI shares have risen 20.1 percent year to date, trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales multiple of 0.32 times.

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Super Micro Computer (SMCI) reported a 78% increase in fiscal 2026 revenue to $39.1 billion, securing over $60 billion in new orders in Q4. AI solutions are projected to account for over 80% of future revenue based on backlog, with fiscal 2027 revenue guidance set at $65 billion to $72 billion. Investors view the explosive order backlog and expanded supply of NVDA chip-based servers as key drivers of performance growth.

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SMCI's record backlog growth indicates that AI infrastructure demand remains robust and future earnings visibility is exceptionally high. Attention must be paid to whether the fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $65 billion to $72 billion will be met and the trend in margin rates.

The bullish scenario involves gaining an early supply advantage during the transition to new AI chip platforms by NVDA and AMD to expand market share, while the bearish scenario is margin compression driven by intensified competition with DELL and HPE. Key monitoring metrics are order backlog turnover and the achievement of quarterly earnings guidance.

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