TSLA Faces Worst Week in Months Ahead of Q3 Delivery Report as Munster Predicts Rebound
Yahoo Finance ·
Tesla is heading toward its sharpest weekly decline in over two months ahead of Friday's third-quarter delivery report, with shares closing Thursday down 0.2% at $354.11 for a weekly drop of 5%. Despite a broader Wall Street consensus anticipating a year-over-year decline due to last year's tax credit expiration rush, Deepwater Asset Management's Gene Munster projects deliveries to reach 497,000 vehicles, comfortably beating the Street's 461,000 estimate. Munster cited elevated gas prices, rising Full Self-Driving awareness, and extended Model 3 and Model Y wait times as proof that the electric vehicle winter is thawing. Meanwhile, CEO Elon Musk announced cuts to RAM allocations for AI5 and AI6 chips to scale Optimus humanoid robot production, arguing that memory bandwidth remains the primary constraint over total capacity. Additionally, Tesla recently secured a $30 billion credit facility to proactively fund its aggressive expansion into AI and robotics infrastructure, even as analysts debate the long-term cash implications of the borrowing program.
AI 시장 분석
Ahead of its Q3 delivery report, Tesla experienced its worst weekly slump in two months, though some analysts predict a thaw in the EV winter. Gene Munster of Deepwater forecasts Q3 deliveries to reach 497,000 units, beating Wall Street's estimate of 461,000. Investors should closely monitor the upcoming delivery results and changes in cash flow driven by increased capital expenditures.
상승 영향
- Electric Vehicles — Gene Munster forecasts Q3 deliveries at 497,000 units, exceeding the Wall Street consensus and indicating that the EV demand winter is entering a thawing phase.
하락 영향
- Growth Stocks — Tesla's pursuit of a $30 billion financing deal to fund AI, robotics, and semiconductor investments has raised concerns over massive future capital expenditures and cash burn.
DYAX 전담 분석
Tesla shares are showing volatility due to expectations for Q3 deliveries and signs of demand recovery driven by high oil prices and rising FSD awareness. Notably, Elon Musk is focusing on cost reduction and mass production for Optimus mass production by reducing the RAM capacity of AI5 and AI6 chips by half and one-third, respectively.
In the bullish scenario, actual deliveries exceeding Wall Street expectations and proving a recovery in EV demand could drive a stock rebound. In the bearish scenario, securing a $30 billion credit line and over $2.5 billion in capital expenditures for 2026 could weigh on future cash flow. Key indicators include actual delivery figures and the wait times for Model 3/Y deliveries.
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