Apple's Foldable iPhone Duo to Trigger Massive Upgrade Cycle, Says Gary Black

Yahoo Finance ·

Investment expert Gary Black predicts that Apple Inc.'s newly unveiled foldable device, the iPhone Duo, starting at $1999, will ignite a massive hardware upgrade cycle and significantly boost the company's average selling price. While the phone is expected to become a must-have status symbol for younger demographics and a convenient tool for business travelers, Black cautioned that production constraints could cap incremental earnings for up to six months. Furthermore, the company faces potential cannibalization of iPad sales. Preorders for the iPhone Duo are scheduled to begin on October 16, with official store availability following on October 23.

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Apple has unveiled its first foldable smartphone, the iPhone Duo, starting at $1,999, which is expected to drive a massive upgrade cycle. However, concerns are also raised that production volume limitations may restrict additional revenue generation over the next six months. Investors must simultaneously monitor the rise in average selling prices (ASP) and the potential cannibalization of iPad sales.

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The launch of the iPhone Duo is expected to raise average selling prices and generate strong demand among the 2030 demographic, though production constraints could weigh on short-term earnings. Analysts have raised their fiscal 2027 iPhone revenue forecasts, presenting a positive scenario.

In the bullish scenario, an accelerated replacement cycle is reflected due to the success of the foldable form factor, while in the bearish scenario, supply chain bottlenecks and iPad cannibalization put pressure on performance. Pre-order volumes and production stabilization indicators must be closely monitored going forward.

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