What History Says a $5,000 Investment in VOO Today Could Be Worth in 20 Years

Yahoo Finance ·

The S&P 500 index has generated an average annual return of 9.98 percent over the past 98 years since 1928. Meanwhile, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), launched in September 2010, has posted an even higher average yearly return of 14.94 percent over the past 16 years. While future market performance is never guaranteed and downturns can occur, equities historically recover and expand over long periods. By examining three potential scenarios—a base case matching the 9.98 percent long-term average, a bull case mirroring the 14.94 percent rate, and a conservative bear case of 7 percent—investors can project how a $5,000 principal in VOO might compound over a 20-year horizon. Embracing low-cost index funds and a patient horizon unlocks the true potential of compound interest in the stock market.

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The S&P 500 index has recorded an annualized return of approximately 9.98% over the past 98 years, while the VOO ETF has shown a performance of 14.94% over the 16 years since its launch. Long-term investment has the potential to significantly grow assets over a 20-year period through the power of compounding. Investors need to establish long-term investment strategies based on historical average returns.

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The long-term historical returns of the S&P 500 and VOO prove the compounding effect of the stock market, enhancing the investment appeal centered on US large-cap stocks. The 9.98% average return over the past 98 years and the 14.94% return over the past 16 years act as strong upward momentum for long-term investors.

In a bullish scenario where future economic growth continues, assets could surge, but in the event of a recession or market crash, there is a risk of recording low returns below 7%. Key indicators to watch are US economic growth, VOO annual returns, and the inflation rate.

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