Nvidia Projected to Maintain Its Lead Over AMD Through 2028

Yahoo Finance ·

Nvidia and AMD maintain a powerful duopoly in the discrete GPU sector. Data from Jon Peddie Research indicates that in the second quarter of 2026, Nvidia captured 90 percent of the market while AMD held 8 percent. Historically rooted in PC gaming, both technology giants have successfully shifted their strategic focus toward data centers to power large language models and artificial intelligence algorithms. Driven by this explosive sector expansion, Nvidia shares skyrocketed 854 percent over the past five years, outpacing AMD's 378 percent gain. Nvidia continues to lead due to superior processing power, exceptional energy efficiency, and proprietary NVLink technology, which excel in complex artificial intelligence training. Meanwhile, AMD relies on cost-effective pricing and high memory bandwidth, positioning its hardware as an attractive option primarily for artificial intelligence inference tasks moving forward.

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As of Q2 2026, NVIDIA (NVDA) dominates the discrete GPU market with a 90% share, overwhelmingly leading AMD (8%). Amid explosive growth in the AI market, NVIDIA's unrivaled high-performance GPUs and NVLink technology are driving demand for data center infrastructure. Investors should monitor the sustainability of NVIDIA's dominance in leading the AI training market through 2028.

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DYAX 전담 분석

NVIDIA's stock has surged 854% over five years, capturing 90% of the data center GPU market and solidifying its monopoly in ultra-large AI model training. Meanwhile, AMD is maintaining its competitiveness in the AI inference market and seeking to expand its share using competitive pricing and high memory bandwidth.

The bullish scenario is that NVIDIA maintains its dominance in the AI training market through 2028 based on overwhelming power efficiency and NVLink technology, while the bearish scenario is that AMD erodes NVIDIA's margins with cost-effective inference chips. Key monitoring indicators are both companies' data center revenue growth rates and market share changes.

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