SpaceX Pursues $40B for Nvidia Chips as Long-Term Model Points to 145% Upside

Yahoo Finance ·

SpaceX is seeking approximately $40 billion in Apollo-led financing to purchase Nvidia chips, according to a Financial Times report on October 6. The proposed funding structure combines $10 billion in bank loans with $30 billion in investment-grade debt, introducing external lenders to the hardware acquisition process. On the same day, Nvidia stock closed at a record $239. Wall Street sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with 59 analysts maintaining a mean price target of $329, which sits 37% above the record close. Meanwhile, TIKR's mid-case valuation model projects the stock could reach $587 by January 2031, representing a total return of 145%. This projection assumes a normalized annual revenue growth of 25.1% and a net income margin of 53.4%, factoring in ongoing supply constraints that CFO Colette Kress expects to persist through fiscal 2028.

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SpaceX is pursuing approximately $40 billion in debt financing led by Apollo to purchase NVIDIA chips, and NVIDIA's stock price hit a record high of $239. Wall Street analysts' average target price is set at $329, suggesting strong future upside potential. Investors should watch whether large-scale demand through external financing will drive earnings growth despite supply constraints.

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The news of SpaceX's $40 billion financing shows that NVIDIA's hardware is evolving from a mere technological asset into an investment asset. Even amidst supply constraints, the demand for chip purchases through external debt acts as a powerful driver supporting revenue growth, and both Wall Street consensus and long-term models maintain positive outlooks.

The bull scenario is that supply bottlenecks ease and externally raised funds translate directly into actual revenue, allowing the stock price to quickly surpass the target of $329. On the other hand, the bear scenario is when excessive debt-based financing triggers credit risks or supply constraints last longer than expected, increasing valuation pressure. The future multiple contraction speed and debt financing execution capability should be used as key monitoring indicators.

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