Mizuho Issues Bullish Call on Broadcom Ahead of September 2 Earnings

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Mizuho TMT sector specialist Jordan Klein is recommending a contrarian entry in Broadcom ahead of its September 2 fiscal earnings release, despite the stock dropping by mid-teens over the past two weeks. Klein's bullish thesis relies on an extreme negative shift in sentiment and a historical pattern where CEO Hock Tan has never delivered two consecutive weak quarters in roughly 30 quarters. While market concerns persist regarding potential custom ASIC share losses to Google, Klein believes management will actively counter this narrative on the earnings call by detailing AI revenue opportunities for 2027 and 2028. Furthermore, competitor commentary from NVIDIA and Marvell Technology is expected to prompt a proactive stance from Tan. Although Mizuho still favors NVIDIA as its top semiconductor pick, Klein highlights that Broadcom's current risk-reward profile offers compelling upside from the $370 level, noting that AVGO historically experiences post-earnings moves two to three times greater than NVIDIA.

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Ahead of the earnings release on September 2, Mizuho issued a contrarian buy rating for Broadcom (AVGO), whose stock recently dropped by double digits, citing 30 consecutive quarters of strong performance and valuation appeal. Contrary to excessive market concerns, CEO Hock Tan is expected to directly address Google-related headwinds through AI chip revenue opportunities in 2027-2028. Investors should be mindful of high volatility while taking a positive mid-to-long-term approach to the semiconductor sector.

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Jordan Klein of Mizuho identified the mid-range decline of Broadcom (AVGO) over the past two weeks, which pushed investor sentiment to its worst, as a contrarian buying opportunity. While concerns over declining market share due to Google's development of custom ASIC chips have been priced into the stock, analysis suggests that given CEO Hock Tan's track record of addressing past performance issues, consecutive slumps are unlikely.

The stock's future direction will be determined by the reliability of the 2027-2028 AI revenue growth outlook provided by management at the September 2 earnings release. In the bullish scenario, the stock will rebound through the CEO's active defense, whereas in the bearish scenario, Google supply chain concerns may materialize, leading to further correction. Therefore, attention must be paid to high volatility indicators around the earnings release.

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