Amazon Eyes $60B Qualcomm Deal as Apple Shifts Modems In-House

Yahoo Finance ·

QUALCOMM is actively working to offset declining smartphone dependency by expanding into AI infrastructure, underscored by a massive framework agreement with Amazon.com. According to a September 8 SEC filing, Amazon commercial arrangements and binding orders could theoretically reach a ceiling of $60 billion, though this represents a maximum potential rather than a guaranteed purchase. The timing coincides with Apple moving modem production in-house, squeezing a traditional revenue channel for Qualcomm. To secure validation for its data-center push—targeted at $15 billion in annual revenue by fiscal 2029—Qualcomm issued Amazon warrants for up to 25 million shares at $161.26, with 3.75 million shares vesting immediately. Both entities will collaborate on server processors and optical connectivity. Meanwhile, institutional interest shifted in Q2 2026, with hedge funds holding Qualcomm rising to 95 from 71 in Q1, whereas Apple holders dipped to 169 funds. While the arrangement offers a clear expansion path for Qualcomm, its ultimate financial realization remains contingent on hitting strict future milestones.

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Amazon has filed an SEC disclosure leaving open the possibility of an AI infrastructure and server chip partnership with Qualcomm worth up to $60 billion. This serves as powerful momentum for Qualcomm to offset revenue gaps in the smartphone segment caused by Apple's transition to in-house modems with AI data centers. Investors should closely monitor whether Qualcomm succeeds in diversifying into the AI market and whether Amazon achieves its actual purchasing milestones.

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The partnership with Amazon worth up to $60 billion serves as a key catalyst for Qualcomm to reduce its reliance on smartphones and achieve its goal of a $15 billion annual data center business by 2029. However, since actual purchasing milestones must be met under the warrant conditions, medium- to long-term execution rather than short-term earnings will be the indicator determining the direction of the stock price.

The bullish scenario is that server chip cooperation with Amazon accelerates and Qualcomm is reevaluated as a powerhouse in AI infrastructure, while the bearish scenario is failing to offset the blow from Apple's departure and delayed milestone achievement. Attention should be paid to trends in short interest and hedge fund stake changes.

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