Deutsche Bank Upgrades Netflix to Buy, Citing Overlooked Global Expansion and AI Potential

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Deutsche Bank has raised its rating on Netflix to Buy from Hold, emphasizing that investors are underestimating the streaming leader's international momentum and technological integration. Analyst Bryan Kraft trimmed his price target from $100 to $95, yet the revised figure still points to an approximate 37% upside from the recent closing price. Even though Kraft reduced certain operating income and free cash flow projections following the second-quarter earnings report, he argued that market preoccupation with domestic U.S. viewership obscures robust international engagement trends. Over 60% of Netflix productions now occur outside the United States, cementing a formidable overseas content pipeline. Furthermore, with shares trading at roughly 18 times projected 2027 earnings, the current valuation provides an attractive entry point for multiple expansion, reinforced by upcoming artificial intelligence efficiencies and broader platform evolution.

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Deutsche Bank upgraded Netflix (NFLX) from Hold to Buy, highlighting international market growth and artificial intelligence (AI)-driven efficiency. Although the target price was lowered from $100 to $95, it still suggests an upside potential of approximately 37% compared to the recent closing price. As valuation appeal and global production competitiveness come into focus, investor attention is shifting from US viewing hours to international and platform scalability.

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Despite lowering operating income and free cash flow forecasts following the second-quarter earnings, Deutsche Bank issued a Buy rating based on the 2027 estimated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio dropping to around 18x. The fact that Netflix's international production share exceeds 60% and strengthens its global content pipeline is expected to serve as a stock price momentum driver.

The future direction of the stock price will be determined by the continuation of international market engagement and the monetization speed following AI technology adoption. In the bull case, valuation multiples are projected to recover to the low-to-mid 20s and drive stock gains, while in the bear case, downward pressure on operating income may persist and limit the stock rebound, making the monitoring of key metrics essential.

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