Why I Am Holding Onto My Netflix Shares Despite Soft Guidance

Yahoo Finance ·

Netflix shares tumbled on Wednesday following the release of its latest financial figures. Although the premier streaming platform outperformed its summer projections for the third quarter, management's forward-looking guidance dampened investor enthusiasm. Warning signs had been piling up: Netflix trimmed 6 percent of its workforce earlier this month, leading to the departure of several high-ranking executives, including its chief content officer and film chief. Furthermore, the stock had previously declined following each of its last five earnings reports. For the third quarter, revenue advanced 11.8 percent to $12.87 billion, slightly beating expectations, while earnings per share jumped 44 percent to $0.87. However, the outlook for the fourth quarter left much to be desired. Revenue is projected to grow by just 11.5 percent to $13.4 billion, marking the fourth straight quarter of decelerating year-over-year growth. Meanwhile, net income per share is anticipated to reach $0.67, falling short of the consensus estimate of $0.73. Despite these headwinds, I have no intention of liquidating my Netflix holdings today.

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Despite Netflix beating expectations in Q3 with $12.87 billion in revenue and $0.87 in earnings per share, its shares fell due to weak Q4 guidance. Q4 revenue growth is expected to slow to 11.5%, and EPS forecasts missed market expectations, driven by cost headwinds and restructuring, with investors focusing on the slowdown in growth momentum.

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Concerns over slowing growth are spreading as Netflix's Q4 earnings per share forecast of $0.67 falls short of the market consensus of $0.73. Internal restructuring signals, such as a 6% workforce reduction and the departure of key executives, served as precursors to the sluggish performance.

If downward revisions to guidance continue, additional downward pressure on the stock price is expected, with the improvement of the cost structure and subscriber metrics being key points to watch. On the other hand, the possibility of a rebound through content competitiveness cannot be ruled out.

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