Wedbush Lowers Netflix Price Target Following Content Chief Resignation and Leadership Shakeup

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Wedbush has reduced its price target for Netflix to $90 from $105 while keeping an Outperform rating. This revision follows the announcement that current chief content officer Bela Bajaria will step down, with former Disney executive Peter Rice slated to succeed her. Other major institutions including KeyBanc, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, and Huber Research have also cut their price targets this month. Wedbush highlighted that while user engagement remains the primary concern for bearish investors, advertising revenue is projected to double to approximately $3 billion in 2026. Additionally, Netflix confirmed the layoff of roughly 1,000 employees this week as part of a more disciplined resource allocation strategy. Ahead of next week's third-quarter earnings report, Wall Street consensus estimates project earnings per share of $0.82 on $12.8 billion in revenue. Netflix shares have declined over 20% year-to-date and nearly 40% over the past year.

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Netflix shares trended downward following the replacement of its Chief Content Officer (CCO) and a restructuring involving 1,000 layoffs. Major Wall Street institutions, including KeyBanc and Morgan Stanley, simultaneously lowered their price targets, while Wedbush maintained an outperform rating, citing expectations that ad revenue will double to approximately $3 billion by 2026. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming Q3 earnings release (expected EPS of $0.82, revenue of $12.8 billion) and management's cost-efficiency strategy.

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Netflix's CCO replacement and restructuring serve as a desperate measure to address declining viewer engagement and excessive infrastructure spending, which is amplifying short-term stock volatility. However, Wall Street also harbors expectations that the acceleration of the ad monetization model and enhanced cost efficiency could lead to mid- to long-term margin improvements.

In the bullish scenario, content efficiency could increase under new leadership and ad revenue could achieve the $3 billion target early, rebounding the stock price, whereas in the bearish scenario, the downward trend in viewer engagement could persist and restructuring costs could compress short-term earnings. Key metrics to watch are subscriber metrics and ad revenue growth rates in the Q3 earnings report.

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