Google Ex-CEO Eric Schmidt Warns China Could Win AI Race Through Free Strategy Despite Trail

Yahoo Finance ·

Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt noted that while China lags the United States by approximately six months in the artificial intelligence sector, it could ultimately emerge victorious through a strategy centered on free products. Speaking on a podcast hosted by Norges Bank Investment Management CEO Nicolai Tangen, Schmidt explained that Chinese models are often free or highly affordable, making them attractive to developing economies. He highlighted that China has benefited from smuggled advanced chips and distillation techniques. Dismissing AI bubble concerns, Schmidt pointed to the explosive revenue growth of Anthropic, where he holds a personal stake. However, experts and industry leaders warn that low-cost Chinese open-source alternatives like DeepSeek and Alibaba models could challenge the pricey proprietary systems of U.S. giants by offering practical capabilities at a fraction of the cost.

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According to former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, China lags 6 billion months behind the US in the AI race but threatens the global market with free and low-cost strategies. Particularly in developing markets, affordable Chinese AI models are expanding their share and could hit the revenue models of US big tech. Investors should closely monitor margin pressure risks due to intensified price competition amid the US-China AI hegemony rivalry.

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Eric Schmidt warned that Chinese AI is chasing the US with a 6-month gap and could outpace US companies through free product strategies. As low-cost open-source models from Tencent and Alibaba spread, the risk of undermining the pricing power and profitability of high-cost US AI models like OpenAI and Anthropic is growing.

The bullish scenario is that US big tech maintains a technological super-gap and monopolizes the premium market, while the bearish scenario is that margins across the AI sector plummet due to the offensive of cheap Chinese models. Key indicators to watch are the paid customer retention rates of major US AI companies and the global market share trends of Chinese models.

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