Intel Share Price Plunge Wipes $12B From Government Stake

Yahoo Finance ·

Intel shares experienced one of their worst sessions on Friday, plummeting approximately 28% following a disappointing fourth-quarter revenue and profit margin forecast. CNBC reported that this steep sell-off erased $12 billion from the value of the government's equity stake, which was acquired at a 10% share level by the Trump administration over a year ago. Nvidia, another major investor from 2025, also saw its stock dip amid a broader technology sector retreat. Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan pointed to soaring memory costs and component constraints driven by artificial intelligence demand, which have elevated personal computer prices and strained IT budgets. Despite these severe headwinds, Intel's data center division proved to be a rare bright spot, posting a 78% year-over-year revenue increase.

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Intel's stock plummeted 28% due to weak Q4 guidance and margin compression concerns, evaporating $1.2 billion of government-held equity value. Rising PC component prices driven by the AI boom and IT budget pressures triggered a broad sell-off across the semiconductor sector. Investors must closely monitor Intel's foundry expansion capabilities and the risk of deteriorating cash flow through 2028.

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Intel issued a Q4 revenue forecast of $15 billion to $16 billion, falling short of market expectations by $1.7 billion, and projected its gross margin to decline to 37%. This triggered a 28.58% stock plunge and sent shockwaves through the tech sector. In particular, memory price increases resulting from the expansion of the AI industry caused a slowdown in PC demand, directly leading to underperformance.

Future scenarios will be determined by the speed at which the foundry business secures external customers and the sustainability of data center revenue (78% growth). The bullish scenario points to a data center-led rebound, while the bearish scenario risks further declines due to worsening cash flows and intensified competition, making it crucial to watch fab utilization and PC shipment indicators.

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