BofA Highlights Top European Semiconductor Stocks Ahead of Earnings

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Ahead of upcoming earnings reports, BofA Securities has designated STMicroelectronics NV, Infineon, Tower Semiconductor, and Nordic Semiconductor as its preferred choices over Melexis. The financial institution anticipates modest earnings beats and guidance raises for the first three firms, driven by revenue contributions from data center, artificial intelligence, automotive, and industrial sectors. Pricing dynamics and gross margin trends remain critical focal points for the group. For STMicroelectronics, data center expansion and optical margins are key catalysts. Infineon is expected to benefit from robust AI and server power revenues, although pricing pressures in its power division present some hurdles. Meanwhile, Nordic Semiconductor received a reiterated Buy rating supported by operational leverage and expanding EBITDA margins. Conversely, Melexis faces an underperform rating due to its heavy reliance on global SAAR units and lagging automotive growth amid sluggish demand across China and Europe.

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Ahead of earnings releases, BofA Securities named STMicroelectronics, Infineon, Tower Semiconductor, and Nordic Semiconductor as its preferred European semiconductor stocks. These companies are expected to see moderate revenue growth and earnings improvement driven by the datacenter, AI, automotive, and industrial sectors. Meanwhile, Melexis maintained an underperform rating due to weak automotive demand in China and Europe. Investors should closely monitor pricing power with major OEMs and gross margin improvements.

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BofA's selection of top picks is based on the analysis that strong demand from the datacenter and AI sectors can offset the sluggishness in traditional automotive and industrial semiconductors. In particular, STMicroelectronics and Infineon are expected to raise their AI-related revenue guidance in the optical and power sectors, respectively, and pricing power will act as a key variable for earnings surprises.

The bullish scenario involves soaring stock prices driven by price hikes for major OEMs and beating AI-related revenue guidance, while the bearish scenario involves limited margin improvement due to IGBT oversupply and slowing automotive demand in China and Europe. Key metrics to watch are the recovery of a 40% gross margin and EBITDA margin trends.

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