Piper Sandler Projects AMD EPS to Compound at 65% Through 2030

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Piper Sandler analyst David O'Connor initiated coverage on Advanced Micro Devices with an Overweight rating and a $600 price target. Driven by surging server CPU demand from Agentic AI workloads, O'Connor estimates that AMD will achieve a 50 percent compound annual growth rate in revenue and a 65 percent compound growth in EPS from fiscal years 2026 to 2030, reaching $53 by 2030. In the second quarter, AMD reported revenue of $11.5 billion, with data center sales jumping 107 percent year-over-year to $6.7 billion, powered by EPYC processors and Instinct GPUs. The company is also ramping up its Helios platform with anchor clients such as OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic. Meanwhile, hedge fund interest rose notably, with 164 funds holding stakes in the stock in the second quarter of 2026, up from 134 in the previous period.

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Piper Sandler projects AMD's 2026-2030 revenue CAGR at 50% and EPS compound growth rate at 65%, setting a target price of $600. The surge in demand for server CPUs and GPUs driven by the spread of agentic AI is analyzed to drive earnings growth. Investors should monitor the data center segment's continued margin defense and cash generation.

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Demand for AMD's Venice portfolio and EPYC server CPUs is surging due to the demand for continuous control and API calls essential for running agentic AI. Along with the Helios GPU ramp-up securing anchor customers such as OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic, Q2 data center revenue soared 107% year-over-year to $6.7 billion.

In the bullish scenario, achieving the $600 target price is possible through maintaining a 31% data center operating margin and expanding AI accelerator market share, while in the bearish scenario, China export restrictions and lower profitability relative to customer investments could act as risks. Key metrics to watch include EPS growth over the next few quarters and the cash conversion rate of major customer orders.

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