Wall Street Stays Calm as Markets Await Nvidia Earnings and Weigh Inflation Data

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Wall Street brushed off a slightly hotter-than-expected inflation reading on Wednesday as investors braced for Nvidia's fiscal second-quarter 2027 earnings report scheduled for after the closing bell. As of 11:59 a.m. ET, the S&P 500 edged up 0.02%, while the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.12% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.21%, threatening a three-day winning streak. The core PCE price index held at 3.3% in July, matching expectations, while the headline index rose 0.2% for the month and 3.7% annually, both coming in slightly above economist forecasts. With inflation remaining persistently above the Federal Reserve's 2% objective, traders are currently pricing in roughly a one-in-three probability of a policy rate adjustment at the upcoming September 15-16 meeting.

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Although the US July PCE price index rose 3.7% year-over-year, slightly exceeding expectations, Wall Street shrugged it off and traded flat while awaiting NVDA's Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings report. The S&P 500 inched up by just 0.02%, while the Nasdaq and Dow indices edged down. Investors remain on the sidelines as inflation still exceeds the Fed's 2% target.

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Despite inflation indicators exceeding expectations, the stock market's lukewarm reaction is entirely due to a wait-and-see attitude ahead of NVDA's earnings release. Although the PCE price index recorded 3.7% annually, dampening rate cut expectations, the earnings of the AI semiconductor leader are acting as a key variable determining the direction of overall tech stocks and indices.

In a bullish scenario, NVDA could post a surprise and drive a rally across the AI sector, while in a bearish scenario, tech-focused sell-offs could emerge amid concerns over prolonged high interest rates. The upcoming September FOMC meeting and changes in NVDA's guidance should be monitored as key indicators.

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