Upcoming GENIUS Act Stablecoin Regulations Set to Reshape Crypto Market by November

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Signed into law last July, the GENIUS Act establishes a foundational regulatory framework for payment stablecoins, with upcoming rules slated to take effect by November. Stablecoins, which are digital assets pegged to stable fiat currencies like the U.S. dollar or euro, enable rapid and cost-effective 24/7 transaction settlements without traditional banking requirements. Under the legislative mandates, issuers must maintain a strict 1:1 reserve backing composed strictly of U.S. dollars, short-term Treasuries, or central bank deposits, while also submitting monthly verification reports. Large issuers with over $10 billion in circulation will face direct federal oversight, whereas smaller operations under $10 billion may choose state-level regulation provided local authorities satisfy federal benchmarks. Furthermore, the legislation explicitly prohibits all issuers from distributing passive yields to token holders.

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The GENIUS Act, the US's first comprehensive stablecoin regulation bill, is scheduled to take effect in November. This bill is expected to significantly enhance market transparency by requiring issuers to maintain 1-to-1 reserves and monthly audits. Investors must closely monitor the influx of institutional investors due to clear regulatory streamlining and the short-term impacts of the ban on passive yield payments.

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With the introduction of the GENIUS Act, large issuers with over $10 billion will be subject to federal regulations, eliminating risky under-collateralization and strengthening the reliability of the stablecoin ecosystem. However, as passive yield payments are prohibited, some decentralized finance (DeFi) liquidity could face headwinds.

A bullish scenario expecting sound capital inflows due to the resolution of regulatory uncertainty coexists with a bearish scenario of short-term trading volume contraction due to weakened profitability. Moving forward, detailed guidelines at the November implementation and reserve management metrics of issuers exceeding $10 billion must be key monitoring points.

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