Micron and Nvidia Drive S&P 500 Earnings Growth: Are Shares Attractive Now?

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According to FactSet's October 16 Earnings Insight report, Micron Technology and Nvidia are anchoring the S&P 500 index's profit expansion for the third quarter of 2026. FactSet calculates the blended growth rate for the index at 29%, but stripping out Micron and Nvidia slashes that figure down to 20%. In essence, these two semiconductor giants are responsible for roughly 9 percentage points of total growth within the 500-stock benchmark. Despite their monumental financial contributions, their equities have experienced a pullback. Nvidia shares trade around $217, marking a 9% decline since their record close on October 6. Meanwhile, Micron hovers near $905, sitting approximately 25% lower than its peak of $1,213.56 reached on June 25. This pronounced disconnect between robust corporate earnings and declining stock valuations suggests that both equities present compelling buying opportunities at current levels.

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According to a FactSet report, Micron and NVDA drove 9 percentage points of the S&P 500's Q3 earnings growth, playing a core role in the overall 29%. However, their stock prices have declined by 25% and 9% from their peaks, respectively, creating a divergence between earnings and stock prices. This gap between fundamentals and stock prices offers an attractive entry opportunity for investors.

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Micron and NVDA are responsible for over one-third of the total S&P 500 earnings growth, clearly demonstrating the semiconductor sector's earnings leadership. As solid earnings momentum continues despite stock price corrections, attention is focused on whether the overall upward momentum of the index can be maintained.

If AI demand continues in the future, a rebound in semiconductor stocks is expected, but if growth slows down, downward pressure on the index as a whole could increase, requiring close monitoring of earnings guidance and the scale of AI infrastructure investment.

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