Equities Snap Winning Streak as Alphabet Suffers Record Post-Earnings Plunge

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U.S. equities retreated on Thursday, halting a three-day advance as Alphabet suffered its worst post-earnings rout since its IPO over two decades ago, tumbling over 12퍼센트. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.29퍼센트, the S&P 500 slipped 0.32퍼센트, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite sank 1.40퍼센트. Alphabet erased roughly $500 billion in market capitalization after posting a third-quarter negative free cash flow of $9.07 billion, far exceeding the $2.70 billion analyst consensus. The tech giant faces fierce pressure from AI rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic. Meanwhile, CME Group FedWatch data showed the probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike edged down to 79.6퍼센트 from 84.2퍼센트 following September inflation and robust GDP data. In geopolitics, Vice President JD Vance dispatched a letter to Iranian leadership pressing for nuclear negotiations.

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Major New York stock indices, including the S&P 500, ended a three-day winning streak and declined following Alphabet's poor earnings and a stock drop of over 12%. Alphabet recorded a negative free cash flow of over $9 billion, far exceeding expectations, wiping out $500 billion in market capitalization. Investors should pay attention to declining advertising profitability due to intensifying AI competition and earnings risks across Big Tech.

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Following Alphabet's worst-ever earnings announcement, third-quarter free cash flow reached $9.07 billion, significantly exceeding the expected $2.7 billion, causing the tech-heavy Nasdaq index to plunge by 1.40%. The direct cause is the blow to the monetization metrics of Google's search business due to the rapid rise of generative AI competitors like OpenAI and Anthropic.

Key watchpoints are whether profitability will recover through AI mode ad scaling and changes in the Federal Reserve's December rate hike probability. In the bullish scenario, an ad revenue rebound is expected, while in the bearish scenario, additional valuation downward pressure may be faced.

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