Tesla and Rivian Face Volatility Risks as Lawmaker Warns of Potential U.S. Entry for Chinese EVs

Yahoo Finance ·

Senator Elissa Slotkin warned that President Donald Trump might consider allowing Chinese automobiles into the United States as part of a comprehensive agreement with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Chinese electric vehicles currently confront a 100% additional tariff, connected-vehicle regulations, and an extra 25% import duty. In 2025, BYD delivered 2.26 million EVs, surpassing Tesla's 1.64 million deliveries. While BYD expands in Canada and Mexico, XPeng, Nio, and Li Auto maintain U.S. research operations. Slotkin cautioned that such a policy shift would severely threaten 1.2 million automotive-related jobs in Michigan and broader domestic manufacturing. Although Trump has not endorsed direct imports, he stated in January that he welcomes Chinese automakers willing to build factories and hire local workers in America. If trade barriers are dismantled, the influx of affordable Chinese vehicles could generate intense pricing pressure for domestic manufacturers like Tesla and Rivian.

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Concerns have been raised in US political circles that President Trump might allow Chinese electric vehicles to enter the US market as part of a deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Currently, a 100% additional tariff and strict connected car regulations apply to Chinese EVs, but if regulations are eased, US automakers such as Tesla and Rivian could face severe price pressure. Investors should closely monitor future trade negotiation trends and changes in tariff policies.

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Chinese EV makers leverage low-cost offensives backed by government subsidies, and BYD surpassed Tesla's 1.64 million units with 2.26 million units sold in 2025. If the US abolishes tariffs and opens its market, a decline in market share and deterioration in profitability for Tesla and Rivian are inevitable, acting as strong downward pressure on the automotive sector overall.

The bullish scenario is the White House maintaining existing 100% tariffs and security regulations to protect domestic manufacturers, while the bearish scenario is actual policy easing leading to Chinese brands like BYD making a full-scale landing in the North American market. Key monitoring indicators are the federal legislature's handling of related bills and the Trump administration's announcements on US-China trade negotiations.

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