SpaceX Shares Slip Following Democratic Midterm Sweeps and Anti-Data Center Votes

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SpaceX shares fell 2 percent and Tesla dropped 3 percent after Democrats swept the midterms and Texas elected a governor campaigning to halt new data center construction. Wall Street analysts warned that the political shift will slow the AI data center build-up, placing Elon Musk and his companies in the spotlight. SpaceX reported a massive jump in capital expenditures, reaching 19.6 billion dollars in the third quarter of 2026, with the majority of this year's spending directed toward its data center division. In response to the regulatory headwinds, Musk remarked that data centers in space are looking quite appealing. Sequoia partner Shaun Maguire's bullish 2028 revenue model relies heavily on terrestrial data centers and assumes minimal political interference, an assumption now threatened by widespread voter pushback across multiple states against new infrastructure projects.

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Following the Democratic victory in the U.S. midterms and the Texas gubernatorial election results, mounting pressure to halt new data center construction caused SpaceX shares to fall 2%, with Tesla declining 3% in tandem. With Q3 capital expenditures reaching $19.6 billion and the majority of annual investments focused on data centers, political regulatory risks could directly impact 2028 earnings estimates. In response, Elon Musk highlighted the attractiveness of space-based data centers, but concerns over a growth slowdown due to delayed terrestrial infrastructure construction are hard to avoid in the short term. Investors should closely monitor future regulatory trends and changes in 2028 revenue projections.

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Following the midterms, local referendums opposing data center construction passed overwhelmingly in 10 states, including Texas, exerting downward pressure on the valuations of SpaceX and Tesla, which have relied on terrestrial data center expansion. In particular, with SpaceX having poured $40 billion into the data center sector alone by Q3 2026, if regulatory delays exceed 20%, the consensus achievement of $33.6 billion by 2028 could be threatened.

In the bullish scenario, values could rise due to the highlighted scarcity of secured computing resources, such as the already operational Colossus 2 in Memphis. However, in the bearish scenario, there is a high risk that the prolonged ban on new site construction will prevent massive capital expenditures from translating into monetization. Future stock direction will be determined by actual state-level regulatory legislation and the feasibility of space-based data centers.

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