Oracle Stock Slumps as Microsoft Walks Away From AI Deal: What It Means for Investors
Yahoo Finance ·
Microsoft is winding down its artificial intelligence cloud agreement with Oracle after declining to renew the contract, citing hardware needs that have outgrown older-generation chips. Shares of Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) fell as low as $109.21 before recovering to close up 0.8% at $116.10 on Friday. This leaves the stock 64.6% below its peak of $328.33 reached on September 10, 2025. For a 66-year-old retiree who purchased 1,000 shares at $39.09 on November 7, 2016, the position is now valued at $116,100, down from a peak of $328,330, but still representing a 197% gain on the initial $39,090 investment. Oracle continues to grow robustly, reporting a 30% jump in quarterly revenue to $19.3 billion and a 121% surge in cloud infrastructure revenue to $7.4 billion. Total contract backlog reached $664 billion. Out of 43 tracked analysts, 35 rate the stock a buy or strong buy, with an average price target of $235.46, suggesting significant upside potential from current levels.
AI 시장 분석
Oracle shares fell 5.2% before recovering 0.8% to close after Microsoft terminated its AI cloud computing lease agreement. This marks a 64.6% plunge from its peak, heightening concerns over the departure of key clients. Investors must closely examine the sustainability of AI infrastructure demand alongside massive fundraising plans.
상승 영향
- AI — Oracle's cloud infrastructure revenue jumped 121% and contract backlog reached $664 billion, proving robust overall demand for AI infrastructure.
하락 영향
- Software — Microsoft terminated its AI cloud computing lease with Oracle, dealing a blow as Oracle shares plummeted 65% from their peak.
DYAX 전담 분석
Microsoft's contract termination stems from the performance limitations of older-generation chips and could deal a blow to Oracle's short-term revenue growth. While the 121% surge in cloud infrastructure revenue is positive, it coincides with massive fundraising ($20 billion), amplifying stock volatility.
The bullish scenario is the solid overall AI demand driven by a $664 billion backlog, and the bearish scenario is the accelerated defection of major big tech clients. Key metrics to watch are cloud segment margins and the signing of additional large contracts.
AI가 생성한 분석으로 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
DYAX Investor Sentiment
Bullish (Long) 52% · Bearish (Short) 48%
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