Jim Cramer and Ken Fisher's AI Pick Microsoft Nears Fiscal Q1 Earnings

Yahoo Finance ·

Microsoft, a favored artificial intelligence pick for investors Jim Cramer and billionaire Ken Fisher, is preparing to release its fiscal 2027 first-quarter financial results on October 28, 2026. Over the past twelve months, the stock has gained roughly 2 percent, though it has rebounded about 40 percent in the last six months. The corporation generates artificial intelligence revenue primarily through Microsoft 365 Copilot and its cloud platform Azure, which posted 43 percent revenue growth in its fiscal fourth quarter. Morgan Stanley estimates that Microsoft added approximately 3.25 gigawatts of capacity in fiscal 2026 and projects about 4.25 gigawatts for fiscal 2027. Additionally, the company recently unveiled its Maia 300 chip. Having surpassed consensus earnings estimates in each of the past four consecutive quarters, market participants are closely watching whether Microsoft can maintain its momentum.

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Microsoft is scheduled to release its Q1 FY2027 earnings on October 28, with AI demand driving performance, including Azure cloud revenue growing 43% from the previous quarter. However, risk factors such as data center capacity shortages in the US and Europe, as well as potential changes in its relationship with OpenAI, remain. Investors should watch Morgan Stanley's estimate of mid-40% Azure growth and progress in Copilot monetization.

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DYAX 전담 분석

Microsoft's commercial backlog surged 84%, proving the steep growth in the AI and cloud sectors, but concerns over data center capacity limits and increased capital expenditures coexist. If Azure growth exceeds 44-45% and Copilot utilization deepens, the stock rally will continue; conversely, if supply constraints persist or cost burdens increase, the stock could undergo a correction.

In the bull scenario, Azure's high growth and cost reductions from adopting custom AI chips (Maia 300) are highlighted, while in the bear scenario, slowed cash flow compared to surging capex and OpenAI dependency risks will pressure the stock. Investors should check data center capacity relief indicators and operating margin control as key metrics during the earnings release.

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