US Home-Purchase Cancellations Reach Nearly 3-Year High as Buyers Gain Leverage

Yahoo Finance ·

According to a new report from Redfin, 14 percent of home-sale agreements under contract in July fell through, marking the highest share since November 2023 and rising from 13.7 percent the previous month. The increase reflects shifting market dynamics as buyers hold more negotiating power amid elevated mortgage rates and high home prices. Redfin noted that July saw a record low number of active homebuyers, with sellers outnumbering buyers by roughly 51 percent nationally. Geographically, Southern metropolitan areas experienced the highest cancellation rates. Atlanta led the nation at 19.8 percent, followed by Houston at 19.6 percent, San Antonio at 18.7 percent, Las Vegas at 18.6 percent, and Orlando at 18.2 percent. Real estate experts indicate that cautious buyers are increasingly willing to walk away from deals or demand heavy concessions due to heightened affordability hurdles and expanded choices in the current real estate landscape.

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According to Redfin's recent report, the U.S. home purchase cancellation rate in July reached a seasonally adjusted 14%, hitting the highest level in about three years since November 2023. This is because the number of home buyers has dropped to a historic low, forming a buyer's market where sellers outnumber buyers by 51%. The increase in contract cancellations is attributed to buyers facing heavy financial burdens due to high interest rates and elevated housing prices.

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The rise in the home purchase cancellation rate to 14% in the U.S. housing market in July directly shows that a buyer's market has formed amidst the burden of high interest rates and high housing prices. In some major southern metropolitan areas like Atlanta and Houston, the cancellation rate exceeds 19%, significantly weakening sellers' bargaining power.

If downward pressure on housing prices intensifies in the future, it could lead to a decrease in new housing starts by builders and poor earnings in housing-related industries. On the other hand, if mortgage rates shift downward or purchasing burdens ease, pent-up demand could flow in rapidly and trading volume could rebound, requiring close monitoring of related housing market indicators.

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