TSLA 3-Week Rally Tested as Waymo’s Sensor Defense Fuels Bullish Bet

Yahoo Finance ·

Tesla, Inc. shares are on track to snap a three-week winning streak, yet New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu remains increasingly bullish on the automaker. Following Waymo’s defense of its multi-sensor robotaxi approach, which combines cameras, lidar, radar, and HD maps, Ferragu argued that Alphabet’s unit is suffering from cognitive dissonance and relying on legacy architecture. Although TSLA stock jumped 3 percent on Thursday, it remains down 2 percent for the week. Ferragu criticized Waymo's reliance on specialized hardware and pre-mapped areas, contrasting it with Tesla's scalable, camera-and-neural-network FSD strategy. New Street maintains a 'Buy' rating on TSLA with a price target of $600, suggesting a potential 69 percent upside from current market levels. Ferragu compared Tesla's transformative potential to the early days of the iPhone, noting that most investors still underestimate the true capabilities of Full Self-Driving software.

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New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu maintained a buy rating and a $600 price target on Alphabet's Waymo, evaluating that its sensor-centric autonomous driving defense strategy proves the superiority of Tesla's vision-based FSD approach. Responding to Waymo's claims about the limitations of camera-only methods and the necessity of LiDAR and HD maps, Ferragu countered that it reflects the limitations of an older architecture. This debate serves as an opportunity to reaffirm market expectations for the scalability of vision AI technology amidst Tesla's stock volatility.

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While Alphabet's Waymo has maintained its sensor diversification strategy using LiDAR and radar based on over 200 million miles of autonomous driving experience, Tesla claims cost reduction and scalability advantages with its camera and neural network-based FSD. New Street Research analyzed that Waymo's defensive stance actually increases confidence in Tesla's vision AI technology, setting a price target of $600 for TSLA, representing a 69% upside.

The bullish scenario is that Tesla's FSD proves its safety and dominates the fully autonomous driving market at a low cost, while the bearish scenario is that camera-only systems hit regulatory barriers or technical limitations, as Waymo pointed out. Going forward, investors should pay attention to Tesla's FSD subscriber trends, regulatory approvals, and actual driving data from robotaxi services.

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