Constellation Energy's Largest AI Power Agreement Won't Generate Revenue Until June 2027

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Back in June of last year, Meta Platforms entered into a 20-year agreement to purchase the clean energy attributes from Constellation Energy's Clinton Clean Energy Center located in Illinois. This contract spans 1,121 megawatts of nuclear generation capacity, representing the largest commitment Constellation has ever made to any artificial intelligence customer. The second-largest arrangement involves roughly 835 megawatts dedicated to restarting a Three Mile Island unit for Microsoft. However, the Meta contract is scheduled to officially commence in June 2027. Consequently, the financial results and raised guidance recently reported by Constellation do not yet include any revenue contributions from this massive AI partnership. For equity investors utilizing the stock as a proxy for artificial intelligence power demand, tracking this timeline is crucial. Shares were trading at approximately $299 at the time of writing, compared to a 52-week peak of $412.70. The fundamental growth anticipated by the market will materialize according to a specific operational schedule.

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The 1,121-megawatt clean energy contract between Constellation Energy and Meta Platforms is scheduled to begin in June 2027. Consequently, the current earnings guidance does not yet reflect revenue from this largest-ever AI power contract. Investors need to recognize that growth driven by surging AI power demand will be reflected with a time lag.

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As the mega-scale nuclear power supply contract with Meta officially commences in June 2027, long-term cash flow generation capacity, rather than short-term earnings, is expected to be the key driver of Constellation Energy's stock price. At the current price level of $299, the critical question is whether the growth schedule driven by future AI power demand will be priced in advance.

In the bullish scenario, escalating power shortages in AI data centers could highlight the contract's value, allowing the stock to rebound toward its 52-week high of $412.70. Conversely, in the bearish scenario, a lack of earnings momentum until 2027 could cause the stock price to stagnate. Key metrics to watch are the scale of power infrastructure investments by AI big tech companies and whether additional nuclear contracts are signed.

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