Anthropic Delays Public Offering Past Midterms Amid OpenAI Rivalry

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Anthropic is reportedly evaluating a new artificial intelligence model and has pushed back its initial public offering timeline past the upcoming US midterm elections, according to sources cited by Reuters. The strategic adjustment follows OpenAI's release of GPT-6 Astra on September 3, which has accelerated competitive pressures. Expense tracking data from Ramp shows GPT-6 Astra capturing about 13% of corporate AI spending, compared to roughly 8% for Anthropic's Claude Fable. Furthermore, Meta Platforms, one of Anthropic's major corporate clients, is seeking to reduce its dependency on external models by expanding proprietary AI capabilities. Despite these market headwinds, Anthropic reported an annualized revenue run rate of $65 billion as of July, surging from approximately $9 billion at the close of 2025, and maintains a projected revenue target of $190 billion to $200 billion by 2028. Both Anthropic and OpenAI continue to exercise caution regarding public market entry, prioritizing safety evaluations over immediate listings.

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Anthropic has reportedly delayed its IPO schedule until after the midterm elections and is considering the launch of a new model. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra is capturing 13% of enterprise AI spending, expanding its market share and pressuring Anthropic. Additionally, major clients such as Meta are moving to reduce their dependence on Anthropic by strengthening their own AI capabilities.

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OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra recorded a 13% share of enterprise AI spending, surpassing Anthropic's Claude Pebble (8%) and gaining an advantage in developer spending. Consequently, Anthropic is delaying its IPO timing to after the November midterms while struggling to secure competitiveness, and Meta's move to build its own AI acts as downward pressure on Anthropic's revenue growth.

The bullish scenario involves Anthropic successfully launching a safety-verified next-generation model to continue its growth trajectory toward an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $65 billion, while the bearish scenario is that OpenAI's dominance and the defection of key clients will deal a blow to its valuation. Key indicators going forward are the enterprise market share of OpenAI and Anthropic, and the proportion of major big tech companies building their own AI.

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