Bitcoin Shows Bottoming Signals as BTC Surges Past $78,000
Yahoo Finance ·
Bitcoin has surged aggressively past $78,000 on Aug. 24, indicating that it could finally be emerging from the brutal bear market that began back in October 2025. Earlier in August, asset management firm VanEck released a comprehensive report revealing that a significant majority of its cyclical bottom-tracking indicators had flashed, pointing toward an approaching bull market phase. VanEck utilizes a model consisting of 12 distinct metrics designed to hit extreme readings near the conclusion of major sell-offs. By mid-August, eight of these metrics were flashing extreme signals, having all triggered within the preceding three months. Furthermore, VanEck highlighted that the current downturn has endured for 10 months, aligning closely with the historical average bear market duration of 11 months.
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As of August 24, Bitcoin (BTC) broke through $78,000, showing signs of escaping the bear market that began in October 2025. According to asset manager VanEck, the majority of the 12 cyclical trough indicators recorded extreme figures, signaling the end of the downtrend. With 10 months of the average 11-month decline period already elapsed, investors are now required to consider buying timings.
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- Bitcoin — Breaking through $78,000 and multiple of VanEck's 12 trough indicators recording extreme figures, raising the possibility of a transition to a bull market
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As Bitcoin recovers the $78,000 level and more than 8 of VanEck's 12 trough indicators emit extreme signals, the possibility of the end of the long-term downward trend and entry into a new bull market is increasing. Having undergone a 10-month correction, close to the historical average decline period of 11 months, directly stimulates market expectations for a rebound.
In a bullish scenario, an upward rally could accelerate with additional capital inflows, while in a bearish scenario, the risk lies in selling pressure due to a failure to rebound. Key indicators such as the full fulfillment of future indicators and macroeconomic liquidity flows must be closely monitored.
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