What Lies Ahead for the Clarity Act Following Senate Defeat

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On September 15, the U.S. Senate rejected the Clarity Act, legislation designed to establish the inaugural federal market-structure regulations for digital assets and divide supervisory duties between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The bill is now expected to be shelved until after the November 3 midterm elections, with its return remaining uncertain thereafter. In the 24-hour window following the failed vote, XRP tumbled 8.5%, while Ethereum and Solana retreated by 2.9% and 3.3%, respectively. Prior to the vote, lawmakers from both parties engaged in intense negotiations to forge a bipartisan compromise. Republican sponsors unveiled their final revised offer on September 14, incorporating numerous amendments requested by Democrats. Nevertheless, Democrats maintained that the updated ethics provisions remained inadequate regarding profits linked to ventures associated with President Donald Trump and his family. Additionally, Republican Senators Susan Collins, Josh Hawley, and Jerry Moran joined in voting against the measure.

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On September 15, the US Senate defeated the Clarity Act, a cryptocurrency market structure regulation bill, delaying its processing until after the November midterm elections. Immediately following this vote, major virtual assets showed a simultaneous weakness, with XRP falling 8.5%, Ethereum 2.9%, and Solana 3.3%. Due to the prolonged regulatory uncertainty, investors should pay attention to short-term volatility expansion and closely monitor whether regulatory authorities pursue alternative policies.

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The defeat of the Clarity Act delayed the incorporation of the cryptocurrency market into the institutional sphere, dampening investment sentiment. The sharp decline in major coins immediately after the bill fell through is a direct reflection of the market's disappointment regarding the regulatory vacuum and political disagreements.

As a future scenario, if regulatory authorities' independent policy promotion brings stability to the market, it could show a moderate recovery, but if political conflict continues, additional downward pressure is inevitable. Investors should monitor the SEC and CFTC's subsequent policy announcements and trading volume changes as key indicators.

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